My Blog
  • Link to Facebook
  • Link to X
  • Link to LinkedIn
  • Link to Youtube
  • Home
  • Search Homes
    • Property Search
    • Featured Listings
    • Open Houses
  • Luxury Homes
  • Communities
    • Scottsdale Ranch
    • McDowell Mountain Ranch
    • DC Ranch
    • Gainey Ranch
    • McCormick Ranch
    • Grayhawk
    • Scottsdale Mountain
    • Ancala
    • View All Communities
  • Buy
    • Experience You Can Rely On
    • Mortgage Calculator
  • Sell
    • Home Value
    • RE/MAX Experience
    • Eight Questions To Ask Any Agent
    • Listing Pointers
  • About
    • About Us
    • Testimonials
    • Market Insights
    • Blog
  • Contact
  • Menu Menu
History Shows the Housing Market Always Recovers | North Scottsdale Real Estate & Luxury Homes | Team Picarello

History Shows the Housing Market Always Recovers

September 2, 2025/in Uncategorized/by Brian Bemo

Now that the market is slowing down, homeowners who haven’t sold at the price they were hoping for are increasingly pulling their homes off the market. According to the latest data from Realtor.com, the number of homeowners taking their homes off the market is up 38% since the start of this year and 48% since the same time last June. For every 100 new listings in June, about 21 homes were taken off the market.

And if you’ve made that same choice, you’re probably frustrated things didn’t go the way you wanted. It’s hard when you feel like the market isn’t working with you. But while slowdowns can be painful in the moment, history tells us they don’t last forever.

History Repeats Itself: Proof from the Past

This isn’t the first time the housing market has experienced a slowdown. Here are some other notable times when home sales dropped significantly:

  • 1980s: When mortgage rates climbed past 18%, buyers stopped cold. Sales crawled for years. But as soon as rates came down, sales surged back, and the market found its footing again.
  • 2008: The Great Financial Crisis was one of the toughest housing downturns in history. Sales and prices both dropped hard. Still, sales rebounded once the economy recovered.
  • 2020: During COVID, sales disappeared overnight, and many people had to put their plans on hold. Yet the recovery was faster than anyone expected, with a surge of buyers re-entering the market as soon as restrictions eased.

The lesson is clear: no matter the cause, the market always rebounds.

Today’s Situation: Where We Stand Now

Over the past few years, home sales have been sluggish. And one big reason why is affordability. Mortgage rates rose at a record-breaking pace in 2022, and home prices were climbing at the same time. That combination put buying out of reach for many people. And when demand slows, home sales do too.

The Outlook: Why Things Will Improve

But here’s the encouraging part. Forecasts show sales are expected to pick up again moving into 2026.

Last year, just about 4 million homes sold (shown in gray in the graph below). And this year is looking very similar (shown in blue). But the average of the latest forecasts from Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) show the experts believe there will be around 4.6 million home sales in 2026 (shown in green).

And a big reason behind that projection is the expectation that mortgage rates will come down a bit, making it easier for more buyers to jump back in.

a graph of salesThat means what’s happening now is part of a cycle we’ve seen before. Every slowdown in the past has eventually given way to more activity, and this one will too.

Just like the 1980s, 2008, and 2020, today’s dip in home sales is temporary.

What That Means for You

If you’ve paused your moving plans, you did what you thought was right. Your frustration is valid. But it’s also important to remember the bigger picture. Housing slowdowns don’t last forever.

That’s where your local real estate agent comes in. Their job is to keep a close eye on the market for you. When the first signs of a rebound appear, they’ll help you spot the shift early so you can relist with confidence.

Bottom Line

If today’s housing market feels stuck, remember it’s never stayed down for good. Slowdowns end, activity returns, and people get moving again. So, let’s connect, because when the next wave of buyers shows up, you won’t want to miss it.

As activity picks up again, will you be ready to put your house back on the market, or do you need to move sooner?

https://awh.armourcloud.io/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250827-Blog-Header-Image-original-e1756799255127.png 410 750 Brian Bemo https://awh.armourcloud.io/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Team-Picarello-Logo-web.png Brian Bemo2025-09-02 00:49:522025-09-02 00:49:52History Shows the Housing Market Always Recovers

Pages

  • 2024 Housing Market Forecast [INFOGRAPHIC]
  • About Us
  • Ancala, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Blog
  • Contact
  • Cromford Report
  • DC Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Desert Highlands, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Eight Questions To Ask Any Agent
  • Estancia, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Experience You Can Rely On
  • Fountain Hills, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Gainey Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Grayhawk, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Hidden Hills, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Listing Pointers
  • Luxury Homes
  • McCormick Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale
  • McDowell Mountain Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale
  • North Scottsdale Real Estate & Luxury Homes | Team Picarello
  • Pie
  • Pinnacle Peak Country Club, AZ Homes for Sale
  • RE/MAX Experience
  • Sample Page
  • Scottsdale Mountain, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Scottsdale Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Some Communities We Serve
  • Stonegate, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Testimonials
  • The Wealth-Building Power of Homeownership [INFOGRAPHIC]
  • Troon and Troon North, AZ Homes for Sale
  • Windgate Ranch, AZ Homes for Sale

Categories

  • Uncategorized

Archive

  • August 2026
  • February 2026
  • January 2026
  • December 2025
  • November 2025
  • October 2025
  • September 2025
  • August 2025
  • July 2025
  • June 2025
  • May 2025
  • April 2025
  • March 2025
  • February 2025
  • January 2025
  • December 2024
  • November 2024
  • October 2024
  • September 2024
  • August 2024
  • July 2024
  • June 2024
  • May 2024
  • April 2024
  • March 2024
  • February 2024
  • January 2024
  • December 2023
  • November 2023
  • October 2023
  • September 2023
  • August 2023
  • July 2023
  • June 2023
  • May 2023
  • April 2023
  • March 2023
  • February 2023
  • January 2023
  • December 2022
  • November 2022
  • October 2022
  • September 2022
  • August 2022
  • July 2022
  • June 2022
  • May 2022
  • April 2022
  • March 2022
  • February 2022
  • January 2022
  • December 2021
  • November 2021
  • October 2021
  • September 2021
  • August 2021
  • July 2021
  • June 2021
  • May 2021
  • April 2021
  • March 2021
  • February 2021
  • January 2021
  • December 2020

Copyright © Team Picarello | Scottsdale Website Design & Online Marketing by Bemo Design

  • Link to Facebook
  • Link to X
  • Link to LinkedIn
  • Link to Youtube
Link to: From Frenzy to Breathing Room: Buyers Finally Have Time Again Link to: From Frenzy to Breathing Room: Buyers Finally Have Time Again From Frenzy to Breathing Room: Buyers Finally Have Time AgainFrom Frenzy to Breathing Room: Buyers Finally Have Time Again | North Scottsdale Real Estate & Luxury Homes | Team Picarello Link to: Builder Incentives Reach 5-Year High Link to: Builder Incentives Reach 5-Year High Builder Incentives Reach 5-Year High | North Scottsdale Real Estate & Luxury Homes | Team PicarelloBuilder Incentives Reach 5-Year High
Scroll to top Scroll to top Scroll to top